So, here’s the thing. I have virtually no idea what’s gonna happen in the Oscar race. I also don’t know what to say in this update, because hardly anything has changed. So I’m gonna do this a little differently than normal. I’m just going to explain the slight changes that I’ve made, before presenting my updated predictions in their entirety.

Here are the changes.

* How To Talk To Girls At Parties was pushed to next year. I removed it from my Costume Design predictions and replaced it with Love & Friendship.

*After Suicide Squad was panned by critics, I took it out of Best Makeup. I put in The Masterpiece instead.

*I’m starting to think that Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk might stand a chance in Visual Effects. I added the film to that category, replacing The BFG. The Visual Effects category could turn out to be a two-way race between Billy Lynn and The Jungle Book.

*We now know the names of songs from La La Land and Moana.

*I added predictions for Best Documentary.

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BEST PICTURE

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The Birth Of A Nation
The Founder
La La Land
The Masterpiece
Nocturnal Animals
Silence
Sully
Zootopia

BEST DIRECTOR

Damien Chazelle – La La Land
James Franco – The Masterpiece
Ang Lee – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Nate Parker – The Birth Of A Nation
Martin Scorsese – Silence

BEST ACTOR

James Franco – The Masterpiece
Andrew Garfield – Silence
Tom Hanks – Sully
Michael Keaton – The Founder
Nate Parker – The Birth Of A Nation

BEST ACTRESS

Amy Adams – Nocturnal Animals
Emily Blunt – The Girl On The Train
Viola Davis – Fences
Emma Stone – La La Land
Meryl Streep – Florence Foster Jenkins.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Dave Franco – The Masterpiece
Jake Gyllenhaal – Nocturnal Animals
Armie Hammer – The Birth Of A Nation
Steve Martin – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Liam Neeson – Silence

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Haley Bennett – The Girl On The Train
Laura Dern – The Founder
Kristen Stewart – Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Rachel Weisz – The Light Between Oceans
Michelle Williams – Manchester By The Sea

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

The Birth Of A Nation
The Founder
La La Land
Loving
Zootopia

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Fences
The Masterpiece
Nocturnal Animals
Silence

BEST FILM EDITING

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The Birth Of A Nation
La La Land
Silence
Sully

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

The Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The Birth Of A Nation
The Jungle Book
Silence

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

The BFG
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The Birth Of A Nation
Fantastic Beasts And Where To Find Them
Silence

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Alice Through The Looking Glass
The Birth Of A Nation
Hail, Caesar!
La La Land
Love & Friendship

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them
The Masterpiece
Silence

BEST  VISUAL EFFECTS

The Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
Fantastic Beasts & Where To Find Them
The Jungle Book
Star Wars: Rogue One

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

The Arrival
Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The BFG
Finding Dory
The Jungle Book

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“Can’t Stop The Feeling” – Trolls
“City Of Stars” – La La Land
“Drive It like You Stole It” – Sing Street
“Try Everything” – Zootopia
“We Know The Way” – Moana

BEST SOUND EDITING

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The Jungle Book
Star Wars: Rogue One
Sully
Zootopia

BEST SOUND MIXING

Billy Lynn’s Long Halftime Walk
The Jungle Book
La La Land
Silence
Sully

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

April & The Extraordinary World
Finding Dory
Kubo & The Two Strings
Moana
Zootopia

BEST FOREIGN FILM

Belgica
It’s Only The End Of The World
Perfect Strangers
The Salesman
Sand Storm

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Life, Animated
Tickled
Trapped
Weiner
Zero Days