I just want to start off by saying this – I was going to publish a set of predictions last night, but my computer was having technical issues. However, I still made a set of predictions, so I’ll still be comparing and contrasting.
BEST ENSEMBLE CAST
The Big Sick
Three Billboards Outside Ebbing, Missouri
I’m 3/5, I had The Post and The Shape Of Water over The Big Sick and Get Out. Actually, The Post was completely shut out, which makes me think they didn’t see it in time. Which is strange, because the other important groups seem to have seen it by now.
So, going by the statistics, our next Best Picture is one of these five films. And that means that The Shape Of Water, Dunkirk, Call Me By Your Name, and The Post are no longer contenders to win.
Timothée Chalamet – Call Me By Your Name
James Franco – The Disaster Artist
Daniel Kaluuya – Get Out
Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour
Denzel Washington – Roman J. Israel, Esq.
3/5. I had Hanks and Day-Lewis. It’s really surprising that Day-Lewis was left out, but maybe they didn’t see Phantom Thread in time, either.
Judi Dench – Victoria And Abdul
Sally Hawkins – The Shape Of Water
Frances McDormand – Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Margot Robbie – I, Tonya
Saoirse Ronan – Lady Bird
4/5. Seeing how they didn’t see Streep’s film, Judi Dench seems like an appropriate replacement for this guild.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR
Steve Carell – Battle Of The Sexes
Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project
Woody Harrelson – Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
Richard Jenkins – The Shape Of Water
Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards outside Ebbing, Missouri
2/5. And this is when SAG goes crazy. It feels weird to see Steve Carell make it on without Emma Stone. But it’s nice to see Woody Harrelson get his due for Three Billboards. I’m just curious about Armie Hammer being left out.
BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS
Mary J. Blige – Mudbound
Hong Chau – Downsizing
Holly Hunter – The Big Sick
Laurie Metcalf – Lady Bird
Allison Janney – I, Tonya
4/5. I predicted Spencer over Chau. It’s interesting that Chau has been popped up at SAG, The Globes, and Critics Choice, despite her film receiving no other nominations from any of these groups.
BEST STUNT ENSEMBLE
War For The Planet Of The Apes
4/5. Fun fact, Les Miserables is the only film to ever receive nominations for both Best Ensemble and Best Stunt Ensemble. Dunkirk almost became the second this year. Oh, well.
I got 20/30. That’s 66%. Not great. But hey, at least they nominated movies that people have actually seen.