Again, I’m sorry I was late. I’ll try to catch up somehow.

5th Most Likely To Win: 13 Hours: Secret Soldiers Of Benghazi

Say what you will about Michael Bay’s movies, but the sound department always does a good job. And his movies always seem to be nominated for the sound awards. But this movie came back way back in January. I don’t know how many people remember it, and I highly doubt that the film has enough support to win.

4th Most Likely To Win: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story

This film won’t win here for the same reason it won’t win Visual Effects. Because it’s a spin-off. If the Force Awakens had won any Oscars, then we could consider this film more of a contender. But this is a spin-off movie. I just can’t see it happening.

3rd Most Likely To Win: Arrival

It’s a Best Picture nominee. It’s a space movie. And the sound design is really good. In another year, this would stand a better chance, and there is still a possibility that this could surprise. But the competition is fierce this year, and there are two films ahead that both feel like winners.

2nd Most Likely To Win: Hacksaw Ridge

This is a big epic war movie that’s nominated for Best Picture. That alone makes it a contender. But what’s interesting is that this marks the 21st nomination for Greg P. Russell, who does not yet have an Oscar. I feel bad for him, I really do. On paper, this sounds like it could finally be his chance to win.

Except…

MY OFFICIAL PREDICTION IS…

La La Land

This is the first time that I am predicting La La Land to win an Oscar. It won’t be the last. If you look back at the history of this category, musicals tend to win whenever they’re nominated. And this year, a musical just so happens to be the Best Picture frontrunner. Unless they’re really desperate to award Greg P. Russell, I can’t see how La La Land loses this.

Next up… I’ll do Best Director.