OSCAR PREDICTIONS: April Update.

March 2017 was a surprisingly packed month. And it’s time to put together how some of these films could impact the Oscar race.

BEST PICTURE

Downsizing
Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
Logan
Molly’s Game
Mudbound
The Post
Untitled Kathryn Bigelow Film
Victoria And Abdul
Wonderstruck

Got rid of Darkest Hour, Mother and The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara with Logan, The Post, and the untitled Kathryn Bigelow film. The competition looks incredibly tight this year.

BEST DIRECTOR

Michael Gracey – The Greatest Showman
Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
Dee Rees – Mudbound
Steven Spielberg – The Post
Joe Wright – Darkest Hour

Replaced Sorkin with Spielberg

BEST ACTOR

Chadwick Boseman – Marshall
Matt Damon – Downsizing
Benedict Cumberbatch – The Current War
Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman
Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour

No change. This category looks strong.

BEST ACTRESS

Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game
Judi Dench – Victoria And Abdul
Brie Larson – The Glass Castle
Jennifer Lawrence – Mother!
Meryl Streep – The Post

I replaced Winslet with Streep. After seeing The Zookeeper’s Wife, I’d say Jessica Chastain can use the momentum from both movies to propel her to a win for Molly’s Game.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Zac Efron – The Greatest Showman
Idris Elba – Molly’s Game
Tom Hardy – Dunkirk
Woody Harrelson – The Glass Castle
John Hurt – Darkest Hour

Replaced Rylance with Harrelson. Not sure about this category yet.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Dafne Keen – Logan
Julianne Moore – Wonderstruck
Michelle Pfieffer – Mother!
Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman
Kristin Wiig – Downsizing

So, I got rid of Kristin Scott Thomas and added Dafne Keen. It’s a long shot, but I feel good about it.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Darkest Hour
Downsizing
Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
Mother!

No change, but I made Downsizing my winner. I do think it’s very likely that Coco could contend, but I’m not sure which one to bump off.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Molly’s Game
Mudbound
The Post
Victoria And Abdul
Wonderstruck

Replaced The Kidnapping of Edgardo Mortara with The Post.

BEST FILM EDITING

Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
Mudbound
Logan
Wonderstruck

Replaced Molly’s Game with Logan.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
Logan
Wonderstruck

Replaced The Kidnapping Of Edgardo Montoya with Logan.

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Beauty And The Beast
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
Wonderstruck

I’m just gonna leave this category as is.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Beauty And The Beast
Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
Wonderstruck
The Zookeeper’s Wife

No change.

BEST MAKEUP & HARSTYLING

Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
Logan

I’m leaving this category, too.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Beauty And The Beast
Dunkirk
Downsizing
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War For The Planet Of The Apes

I just don’t see the need to make changes in a lot of categories.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
Wonderstruck

Let’s see if we can get Carter Burwell an Oscar.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

“???” – Band Aid
“Evermore” – Beauty And The Beast
“???” – Coco
“???” – The Greatest Showman
“???” – Unicorn Store

No change.

BEST SOUND EDITING

Blade Runner 2049
Coco
Dunkirk
Logan
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Replaced Kong with Coco.

BEST SOUND MIXING

Annihilation
Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
Logan
Wonderstruck

No change

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

The Breadwinner
Cars 3
Coco
Ferdinand
Loving Vincent

And, nothing here either.

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