2017 Oscar Predictions: November Update

 

We are now entering the heat of November. Now, at this point in my life, I’m getting kind of busy. So I might have to do some tight scheduling as we head into Oscar season.

BEST PICTURE

Downsizing
Dunkirk
Get Out
The Greatest Showman
Lady Bird
Mudbound
The 
Post
The Shape Of Water
Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing, Missouri

I got rid of Battle Of The Sexes, Molly’s Game and Wonderstruck, and added Get Out, Lady Bird and Three Billboards, making the latter my winner. You know, in the past few months, I’ve been ignoring this film a lot. It just didn’t seem like the kind of movie that the Academy goes for. But it’s becoming very clear that so much is changing this year.

Also, I’m starting to feel that Get Out has a legitimate shot at being a contender.

BEST DIRECTOR

Guillermo Del Toro – The Shape Of Water
Michael Gracey – The Greatest Showman
Martin McDonagh – Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing, Missouri
Christopher Nolan – Dunkirk
Dee Rees – Mudbound

Replaced Spielberg with McDonagh. I made Del Toro my winner. It used to be scandalous to predict a Picture/Director split this early in the game. But recently, iy’s become more common than ever.

BEST ACTOR

Matt Damon – Downsizing
Daniel Day-Lewis – Phantom Thread
James Franco – The Disaster Artist
Hugh Jackman – The Greatest Showman
Gary Oldman – Darkest Hour

Replaced Garfield with Franco. I really like this lineup.

BEST ACTRESS

Jessica Chastain – Molly’s Game
Sally Hawkins – The Shape Of Water
Frances McDormand – Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing, Missouri
Emma Stone – Battle Of The Sexes
Meryl Streep – The Post

Replaced Kate Winslet with Frances McDormand. Changed my winner from Chastain to Hawkins.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Willem Dafoe – The Florida Project
Armie Hammer – Call Me By Your Name
Will Poulter – Detroit
Sam Rockwell – Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing, Missouri
Michael Shannon – The Shape Of Water

Replaced Idris Elba and Cillian Murphy with Armie Hammer and Sam Rockwell.

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Hong Chau – Downsizing
Allison Janney – I, Tonya
Melissa Leo – Novitiate
Octavia Spencer – The Shape Of Water
Michelle Williams – The Greatest Showman

Replaced Kristen Scott Thomas with Allison Janney. I can’t decide who my predicted winner should be, so I’ll just stick with Williams.

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Darkest Hour

Downsizing
Get Out
The Shape Of Water
Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing, Missouri

Replaced Battle Of The Sexes and The Greatest Showman with Get Out and Three Billboards, the latter of which became my winner.

No change.

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Call Me By Your Name
The Disaster Artist
Molly’s Game
Mudbound
Wonderstruck

Replaced The Post with Call Me By Your Name.  I made Mudbound my winner.

BEST FILM EDITING

Dunkirk
Get Out
The Greatest Showman

The Shape Of Water
Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing, Missouri

Replaced Downsizing and The Post with Get Out and Three Billboards.

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

Blade Runner 2049
Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
The Shape Of Water

Replaced Wonderstruck with The Shape Of Water and made that my winner.

BEST PRODUCTION DESIGN

Blade Runner 2047
Dunkirk
Darkest Hour
The Greatest Showman
The Shape Of Water

Replaced Wonderstruck with The Shape Of Water and made it my winner.

BEST COSTUME DESIGN

Beauty And The Beast
The Beguiled
The Greatest Showman
Murder On The Orient Express
Phantom Thread

Replaced Wonderstruck with Murder On The Orient Express.

BEST MAKEUP & HAIRSTYLING

Darkest Hour
The Greatest Showman
The Shape Of Water

Replaced Logan with The Greatest Showman.

BEST VISUAL EFFECTS

Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
Downsizing
Star Wars: The Last Jedi
War For The Planet Of The Apes

No change.

BEST ORIGINAL SCORE

Darkest Hour
Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
The Shape Of Water
Three Billboards Outside Of Ebbing, Missouri

Replaced The Post and Wonderstruck with Darkest Hour and Three Billboards. Changed my winner to The Shape Of Water.

BEST ORIGINAL SONG

Evermore” – Beauty And The Beast
“If I Dare” – Battle Of The Sexes
“A Million Dreams” – The Greatest Showman
“Remember Me” – Coco
“This Is Me” – The Greatest Showman

I changed the name of the other Greatest Showman song.

BEST SOUND EDITING

Blade Runner 2049
Detroit
Dunkirk
The Shape Of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Replaced Downsizing with Detroit.

BEST SOUND MIXING

Blade Runner 2049
Dunkirk
The Greatest Showman
The Shape Of Water
Star Wars: The Last Jedi

Replaced Detroit with The Last Jedi.

BEST ANIMATED FEATURE

The Breadwinner
Cars 3
Coco
The Girl Without Hands
Loving Vincent

Replaced Animal Crackers with The Girl Without Hands. Early reviews for Coco are out, and they’re very promising. At this point, it seems inevitable that Pixar will benefit from a weak year and collect yet another Oscar.

BEST FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM

A Fantastic Woman
First They Killed My Father
On Body On Soul
The Square
Summer 1993

I just added predictions for the last two categories. They’re mostly guesswork.

BEST DOCUMENTARY FEATURE

Chasing Coral
Jane
Kedi
Last Men In Aleppo
Strong Island

Again, this is just a guess.

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