Note: I’m falling behind, I know I am. I’ll try to stay on top of things, but it’s not easy. So this Let’sPredict will be fairly short. I hope you don’t mind.

5th Most Likely To Win: Winter On Fire.

One of two Netflix documentaries. Compared to the other four, not a lot of people seem to really care about this one, and it was a big surprise when it was nominated.

4th Most Likely To Win: What Happened, Miss Simone

The 2nd Netflix documentary. I think if they’re going to give it to a music documentary, it will be Amy. Plus, I just don’t think they would spring for Netflix here.

3rd Most Likely To Win: The Look Of Silence

I know it has good reviews, but this is a documentary sequel. The original didn’t even win, what chances does this have?

2nd Most Likely To Win: Cartel Land

This film won the DGA, and that’s the primary reason But somehow, I just don’t feel like the Academy is really gonna go for something like this.

MY PREDICTED WINNER: Amy

It may have lost DGA, but it won almost everywhere else, including BFCA, BAFTA, and ACE. It also seems to be the most liked documentary of the five. I would say this is your winner.