So, in the next few days, I’m gonna get a lot of these articles out. I’m really trying to catch up, but I keep falling behind.
5th Most Likely To Win: Deepwater Horizon
This was a surprise nomination for a film that didn’t receive a lot of press prior to the Oscars. I think it’s in the weakest position of the five nominees because the effects are so subtle and they play a supporting role in the story. But then again, that’s exactly what I said about Ex Machina, and look what happened.
4th Most Likely To Win: Kubo & The Two Strings
This is the second animated film to ever be nominated in this category, after The Nightmare Before Christmas in 1993. It was never going to win, but that had less to do with animation bias and more to do with the fact that Jurassic Park came out that year.
Now, there’s no denying that the film looks amazing, but I highly doubt it can win. Animated films always have an uphill climb outside of Animated Feature and Original Song. It will certainly get votes, but it won’t be enough.
3rd Most Likely To Win: Doctor Strange
No film from the Marvel Cinematic Universe has ever won an Oscar. It helps that the effects in this film do call attention to themselves in away that voters will remember. But some voters might just get headaches thinking about the eye-popping effects. It will get votes, but to me it just doesn’t feel like a winner.
2nd Most Likely To Win: Rogue One: A Star Wars Story
This film could upset. They did some pretty revolutionary stuff to bring Peter Cushing back to life, and the spectacle of this film can’t be denied. But the fact remains: this is a spin-off. If The Force Awakens couldn’t manage a win here, I don’t know how this film could come out on top. It’s definitely a contender, though.
AND MY OFFICIAL PREDICTION IS…
Ever since this movie came out, it’s been the frontrunner. Every single shot in this film is a VFX shot, and all of them are visually stunning. The animals and locations in this film are so photorealistic you could be forgiven for thinking that the filmmakers trained animals to talk. Sometimes in an Oscar category, there are no politics. The movie with the best effects is the one that wins.
Next is Best Original Score.